Wednesday, September 08, 2004

AOL Straw Poll

What's up with the AOL Straw Poll? According to this poll, Bush is winning 49 states, Kerry is only ahead in Vermont (barely) and D.C. It's an ongoing poll; so far 32,000 have voted. One theory is that since you are allowed one vote per month per username, many people are taking advantage of AOL's generous 7 usernames per account. But that goes for Republicans and Democrats. 32,000 is a very large sample, especially when compared to the average sample used by established polling firms such as Gallup and Zogby (about 1,000).
But I can't believe Bush is up 65-34. That would be by far the biggest landslide in U.S. history. Having said that, it would explain the abject panic of the Kerry campaign and their media buddies.


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